Crude Oil Price Forecast for June 18, 2025

Crude Oil Breaks Above $72 – Bulls Target $75.50 as Momentum Builds

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Crude Oil Price Forecast for June 18, 2025Crude Oil Price Forecast for June 18, 2025

Crude Oil Sees Bullish Momentum on June 18, 2025

Crude Oil (WTI) is showing renewed bullish energy on June 18 as prices hold firm above the key pivot level of $72.00. Traders are closely watching this support level for long opportunities, with a clear technical path to higher resistance near $75.50 and beyond.

Let’s dive into the intraday outlook, RSI signals, resistance zones, and key technical levels guiding today’s trade.

Intraday Technical Setup: Crude Oil (WTI)

  • Pivot Point: $72.00
  • RSI Status: Above 50, signaling bullish momentum

Preferred Scenario – Long Setup:

  • Entry: Above $72.00
  • Target 1: $75.50
  • Target 2: $76.45

Alternative Scenario – Bearish Setup:

  • Entry: Below $72.00
  • Target 1: $70.95
  • Target 2: $69.60

RSI and Momentum Commentary

The RSI indicator remains above its neutrality mark at 50, indicating a shift toward bullish sentiment. This reinforces the preference for long positions as buying momentum builds across major timeframes.

Key Support and Resistance Levels

Support Levels:

  • First Support: $72.00 (pivot)
  • Additional Support: $70.95
  • Deeper Support: $69.60

Resistance Levels:

  • First Resistance: $75.50
  • Major Resistance: $76.45

Technical Price Action Outlook

  • Crude oil is currently trending higher on the back of strong hourly chart structure.
  • A breakout above $75.50 could open the door to further upside, particularly if global fundamentals align.
  • The 20-period moving average on short-term charts supports the bullish case.

Market Fundamentals Supporting Oil Prices

  1. Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing instability in key oil-producing regions is tightening supply.
  2. OPEC+ Policy: Expectations around production cuts are contributing to bullish sentiment.
  3. U.S. Inventory Drawdowns: Weekly EIA data shows declining stockpiles, bolstering prices.
  4. Macroeconomic Sentiment: Rate cut speculation and rising industrial activity support higher energy demand.

Trading Tips for WTI Crude – June 18, 2025

  • Wait for Confirmation: A candle close above $75.50 may signal a breakout.
  • Use Tight Stop-Losses: Consider stops below $71.50 for bullish positions.
  • Monitor RSI Across Timeframes: A 15-min RSI above 60 usually precedes a momentum rally.
  • Correlate with USD Trends: A weaker U.S. dollar typically supports crude prices.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

Q1: What is the intraday pivot level for crude oil today?
A1: The pivot point is $72.00.

Q2: Is crude oil in a bullish or bearish trend today?
A2: Oil is bullish above $72.00, with targets at $75.50 and $76.45.

Q3: What are key resistance levels to watch?
A3: Watch $75.50 and $76.45 on the upside.

Q4: What downside risks exist if support breaks?
A4: A break below $72.00 may lead to $70.95 or even $69.60.

Q5: What does the RSI tell us about crude oil momentum?
A5: RSI is bullish above 50, signaling buyer strength.

Q6: What fundamental events are influencing crude prices?
A6: OPEC+ cuts, inventory data, dollar moves, and geopolitical risks all play a role.

Q7: Can this setup be used for short-term trading?
A7: Yes. These levels are suitable for intraday and short-term swing traders.

⚠️ Disclaimer:

This content is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading crude oil involves significant risk. Please consult with a licensed financial advisor before making trading decisions.

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